A race-agnostic, lineage-agnostic market map. Eight verticals. One product. Total addressable market: $6.04B (2026) → $15.8B (2033) at 14% CAGR.
574,000+ citizens; requires documented lineage to Dawes Rolls. Verification backlog is permanent.
400,000+ members; blood quantum + lineal descent documentation required. No AI pipeline exists.
Published tribal rolls dept; direct genealogy documentation requirement per DOI standard.
Dawes Roll + supplemental genealogy required. Freedmen Rolls adjudication still active — dual market.
220,000+ members; one of the largest Five Civilized Tribes with active enrollment and Freedmen roll disputes.
Black Seminole / Seminole Freedmen lineal descent cases — directly overlaps Florida corridor.
Hoʻoulu Verification Services actively enrolls Native Hawaiian ancestry — documented 3-step verification process live.
Hale Noelo Research Center provides genealogy technical assistance. State-funded. Active digitization program.
Policy + resources body for 573 tribes. A single partnership touches the whole tribal ecosystem.
Published platform for EU citizenship by descent (Italian, Irish, Polish, Romanian, Slovenian). Genealogy is the core bottleneck.
Specializes in Italian, Polish, Irish, Romanian, Slovenian citizenship; genealogy documentation is their explicit pain point.
One assessment, multiple pathways platform — their throughput scales if genealogy verification scales.
Ancestral passport division. UHNW clients. Highest per-case revenue in the space — $500–$2,000/case.
Certifying body for Sephardic Jewish Portuguese citizenship — cannot issue certificates without genealogy verification. Mandatory gate.
Assists Sephardic Jews with Spanish / Portuguese citizenship documentation — genealogy is 100% of the product.
German citizenship by descent — complex documentation from WWII-era records. High difficulty, high fee.
World's largest immigration law firm. Polish, Italian, Irish citizenship divisions. Enterprise-scale volume.
Oldest dedicated heir search firm in the US. Forensic genealogy IS their product. Partnership or acquisition target.
Ancestry's professional arm. Heir and beneficiary search is published as a core service.
Works directly with probate attorneys, executors, trust officers. Genealogy is the product.
Forensic genealogists specializing in heir search and international investigations for attorneys.
Probate research + heir location. Published genealogy source methodology — census, vitals, church records.
Not a direct buyer but a channel — a published ABA resource listing opens every probate attorney in America.
8,000+ member estate planning attorneys. Genealogy verification is a recurring need in complex estates.
Landmen verify heirship chains for oil, gas, mineral leases constantly. Genealogy is core to their title work.
Active forum confirms landmen use genealogy for heir verification on unclaimed mineral rights — underserved market.
Published guide on verifying inherited mineral rights. Explicitly recommends ‘heirship companies and genealogists.’
Cherokee, Creek, Choctaw, Seminole Freedmen allotment land claims require genealogy. Separate from reparations track.
Empowers people with DNA surprises, misattributed parentage, adoption, donor conception. Forensic genealogy is their core tool.
Professional genetic genealogy services for donor-conceived individuals. Published service offering.
Policy + support org for donor-conceived people. Genealogy verification is core to identity claims.
Support + education org navigating DNA discoveries. Forensic genealogy referrals are a natural extension.
Oldest adoptee reunion registry. Genealogy verification closes the gap their system leaves open.
Largest DNA search community online. A vetted vendor listing here generates volume.
Published genealogy portal for hereditary cancer risk. Family history documentation is their explicit recommendation.
6,000+ genetic counselors who recommend family history documentation. B2B referral channel.
Their health product gaps on pre-1870 ancestry. Forensic genealogy as a premium add-on.
Strong European genealogy + DNA. Brick-wall forensic research as a premium upsell.
National Museum of African American History & Culture. Active genealogy programming. Forensic case methodology as institutional content + services.
2,600+ members. Published ethics code. A vendor listing or chapter partnership creates national referral flow.
Gold standard certification body. Alignment here signals quality to every institutional buyer in the space.
20,000 members. Annual conference. Vendor / speaker position creates national visibility.
2B+ newly indexed records from 2024–2025. A partnership or referral arrangement here is the most scalable single deal.
Premier Black American archival institution. Research services + genealogy programming is active.
Already in active outreach. Verification Dept. + GIT pipeline + brick-wall overflow = direct fit.
Cultural identity + lineage verification movement. Tutnese, FBA framing. Verification infrastructure needed.
National Coalition of Blacks for Reparations in America. Oldest reparations advocacy org. Genealogy documentation is foundational to every reparations claim strategy.
AB 3121 task force; lineage documentation for eligibility is an open question. Forensic genealogy is the answer.
First US municipality to fund reparations. Requires documented descent from Black residents pre-1969. Genealogy verification IS the program.
City-funded task force studying reparations eligibility. Lineage verification infrastructure will be needed.
Before this map left the board, it cleared four independent reviews — and a confidence score it had to earn.
Immediate priority: Citizenship by Descent (highest per-case revenue, $150–$2,000), Heir Search (established market, attorney-channel), and Municipal Reparations (government contracts, mission alignment). These three verticals alone = $2M–$8M ARR at scale. First moves: Fragomen LLP, Henley & Partners, Evanston Foundation, California Reparations Task Force.
Tribal enrollment work requires sensitivity to tribal sovereign law — always position as support-only, never primary genealogist of record. Citizenship by descent: document-accuracy liability must be stated in contract. Municipal reparations: treat as government procurement (SAM.gov active — E5 qualifies). All client data: zero-retention policy in every service agreement.
Conservative model: 50 cases/mo across 5 verticals at blended $150 = $90K/mo = $1.08M ARR Year 1. Aggressive: 500 cases/mo at blended $200 = $1.2M/mo = $14.4M ARR Year 3. Break-even: 20 cases/mo at $200 = $4K/mo covers pipeline operating cost. One Fragomen partnership = 200+ cases/mo immediately.
The positioning that works across all 50 organizations is identical: we are not a tech vendor, we are forensic genealogists who use an AI pipeline. Lead with methodology and ethics, not speed. Every client here will flinch at “AI genealogy.” They respond to “Genealogical Proof Standard, BCG-aligned, primary-source citations, chain-of-custody.”
Market demand confirmed across all 8 verticals. Revenue model viable. Competitive moat: speed (90 min vs. 4–6 months), cost ($25–$150 vs. $108–$200/hr), Florida / Southeast specialty, GIT mentoring layer. Primary execution risk: credentialing perception — mitigated by BCG / APG alignment and GPS-standard case files.
The need is universal. The solution is ours. Begin with three brick-wall cases at no charge — and see what the standard looks like.